Hi,
there has been a huge conflict in forum regarding egg hatches between 2 sides. So i just took this as a fun activity to see what are the results if egg hatches are simulated as per the number stated in the egg info page.
There is a wide range of lucky and unlucky players in this 1200 gems pool.
Someone hatched just 1 mythic ( Dont)
someone else hatched fricking 7 mythics in same amount of gems
This is the egg hatch samples ive been looking for . There are 4 consecutive 100 eggs with 0 mythics (1600 gems ) So it is possible that someone might not even have a mythic in 1600 gems.
I welcome @DonT89 to use this as an example that anything can happen and i certainly havent rigged it up . Im starting to believe u just got very unlucky everytime buddy cos it seems what uve experienced so far is pretty possible with the stated odds.
@Killerdog can use this to extrapolate ur data to make more convincing arguments.
Oh also , my observation is u r pretty much guaranteed a mythic in 1000 gems . But there is a slight possibility u might not get anything.
It seems to happen this way in consecutive packs more than alternate packs. so might be silly but as @someone-idont-remember said if u dont get a mythic in 800 gems, its time to stop and try another time…or never try that egg atall…
Thank you all, Good day and hope u r not the guy who hatched zero mythics in 1600 gems.
The possibility of not obtaining a mythical in 1600 gems is something very worrying even for p2w since if it were I would think about it before spending the equivalent of 1600, there being the possibility of not obtaining any mythical even though it is low, perhaps this suggestion is a little crazy from a f2p but what if every 1000 gems will be a mythical and a legendary limited guaranteed? seems fair enough to me. on the other hand I want to be the first to thank you for bothering to do this as it is very useful as an average hatching argument
Absolutely , I believe this should be the topic of focus for us all hereafter… There is no point in discussing the odds since anything is possible with given odds as shown
I’ve already written too much on this topic. Thanks for providing some data though. I hope the doubters of Neo odds take the time to have a look through and change their mind
Do you think that at some point they guarantee a mythical every certain number of gems as in the example that I put or it is just a dream that is not going to come true
I do not know exactly every time but legendary every certain amount and a mythical each other is a good way to make it worth saving more, I think that in a couple of updates I am going to collect criteria of f2w and f2p players and make a thread about the topic
Right…
Of course someone else getting a mythic definitely doesn’t affect your probability of getting one…
Most of Real Life Problems are constrained. It means if the lottery ticket is already sold your chances of getting one are 0 or very close to it in this case.
Than shouldn’t all of us talking about the Payouts being some sort of Binomial Distribution also be theory? I mean it could easily be any other distribution out there?