Hi,
there has been a huge conflict in forum regarding egg hatches between 2 sides. So i just took this as a fun activity to see what are the results if egg hatches are simulated as per the number stated in the egg info page.

There is a wide range of lucky and unlucky players in this 1200 gems pool.
Someone hatched just 1 mythic ( Dont)
someone else hatched fricking 7 mythics in same amount of gems

This is the egg hatch samples ive been looking for . There are 4 consecutive 100 eggs with 0 mythics (1600 gems ) So it is possible that someone might not even have a mythic in 1600 gems.

I welcome @DonT89 to use this as an example that anything can happen and i certainly havent rigged it up . Im starting to believe u just got very unlucky everytime buddy cos it seems what uve experienced so far is pretty possible with the stated odds.

@Killerdog can use this to extrapolate ur data to make more convincing arguments.

Oh also , my observation is u r pretty much guaranteed a mythic in 1000 gems . But there is a slight possibility u might not get anything.

It seems to happen this way in consecutive packs more than alternate packs. so might be silly but as @someone-idont-remember said if u dont get a mythic in 800 gems, its time to stop and try another timeâ€¦or never try that egg atallâ€¦

Thank you all, Good day and hope u r not the guy who hatched zero mythics in 1600 gems.

The possibility of not obtaining a mythical in 1600 gems is something very worrying even for p2w since if it were I would think about it before spending the equivalent of 1600, there being the possibility of not obtaining any mythical even though it is low, perhaps this suggestion is a little crazy from a f2p but what if every 1000 gems will be a mythical and a legendary limited guaranteed? seems fair enough to me. on the other hand I want to be the first to thank you for bothering to do this as it is very useful as an average hatching argument

Absolutely , I believe this should be the topic of focus for us all hereafterâ€¦ There is no point in discussing the odds since anything is possible with given odds as shown

Iâ€™ve already written too much on this topic. Thanks for providing some data though. I hope the doubters of Neo odds take the time to have a look through and change their mind

Do you think that at some point they guarantee a mythical every certain number of gems as in the example that I put or it is just a dream that is not going to come true

I do not know exactly every time but legendary every certain amount and a mythical each other is a good way to make it worth saving more, I think that in a couple of updates I am going to collect criteria of f2w and f2p players and make a thread about the topic

Rightâ€¦
Of course someone else getting a mythic definitely doesnâ€™t affect your probability of getting oneâ€¦
Most of Real Life Problems are constrained. It means if the lottery ticket is already sold your chances of getting one are 0 or very close to it in this case.

Than shouldnâ€™t all of us talking about the Payouts being some sort of Binomial Distribution also be theory? I mean it could easily be any other distribution out there?