I though it would be fun and useful to post some statistics on encountering a hatching in the confirmed spawn locations.

According to the mods and other members of the forum, there is a 1 in 200 chance of encountering a hatchling (this seems about right given my success and the success of others on the forum). This means that there is a 0.5% chance to find a hatchling per arkadion that spawns in a battle, it follows then that the binomial distribution can be used to calculate the odds of a hatchling spawning in various scenarios. There are three scenarios for a battle, either one, two, or three arkadions spawning

Here’s the results:

**if three Arkadions spawn in a battle then the chance to find:**

1 hatchling = 1.485%

2 hatchlings in the same battle = 0.0075%

3 hatchlings in the same battle = 0.0000125%

**if two Arkadions spawn in a battle then the chance to find:**

1 hatchling = 0.995%

2 hatchlings in the same battle = 0.0025%

**if one Arkadion spawns in the battle then the chance to find:**

1 hatchling = 1 in 200 or 0.5%

**The average chance to find one hatchling on any given battle is 0.993% **

Now, here’s some more useful information from this result:

for every 10 battles fought, there is a **9.50%** chance to encounter a hatchling

for every 100 battles fought, there is a **63.1%** chance to encounter a hatchling

for every 500 battles fought, there is a **99.3%** chance to encounter a hatchling

Hope this helps!