STOP HATCHING PLISSS STOP ITS A WASTE UEBFIUBXOEZJDOEIPNNE

Neo Monsters
1

There is a ~1/3 chance of awakening the featured mythic in the anniversary eggs with 800 gems (I have not done the calculations for other amounts but the odds are super high regardless). No other eggs are worth spending on unless you have paid gems or several thousand gems saved up. I see people spending their gems on the current banners but they are being baited into wasting their gems!

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Here is the math I did. I used a binomial calculator for a lot of it.

0.44280432263 * 0.5625 + 0.19067830777 * 0.375 + 0.0649328394 * 0.0625 = 0.32464009935 or 32.46%

(2 or more copies without guarantee * 2 copies from guarantee + 3 or more copies without guarantee * 1 copy from guarantee + 4 or more copies without guarantee * 0 copies from guarantee)

This assumes there is a 0.75% chance of getting the featured mythic. I’m not sure if the odds will be the same because this is an anniversary egg and the egg pool will be rotating at the same time

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Duck’s tribute to a better society

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duck follow gif
Let’s all follow his lead!

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Thanks !!!. It is always nice and good to have a knowledge bonnet on math and statistics on probabilities. Threads like this should be opened more often in the forum

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Well If they are any good they will camp the limited list.

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:rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::ok_hand:

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Those numbers are correct. Good job :v:t2:

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I currently have 1455 gems saved up so I’ll probably have around 1.2k gems to spend on the 2nd anniversary banner if the featured mythic is better than Vixian.

There is approximately a 71.36% chance of awakening the featured mythic in an anniversary egg using 1200 gems.

0.421875(0.89549077419) + 0.421875(0.65856809604) + 0.140625(0.39091111581) + 0.015625(0.1899998309) = 0.71355920889

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With your luck I expect you to awaken it with a lot less

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There’s also approximately a 1756% chance the second mythic is better than Vixian.

1.23887x4858q85.83/387=Vixian sucks

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